Why Democrats Are Polling So Well in Red States (But Not in Blue Ones)

Want to restore the planet’s ecosystems and see your impact in monthly videos? The first 100 people to join Planet Wild with my code NEWSGLOBAL10 will get the first month free on me: https://planetwild.com/r/tldrnewsglobal/join/10 If you want to get to know them better first, check out their mission bringing wildlife back to Bristol: https://planetwild.com/r/tldrnewsglobal/m43/10 Texas Senate Race: https://youtu.be/2dqaG4nmNG0 Polling in major battleground senate races seems to be favouring the Democrats, with even historically Republican states like Texas and Kansas seen as a toss up. So in this video, we'll take a look at the state of play and the key reasons why. 📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/ 🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party 📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought. TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that's not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can't wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks! ////////////////////// Sources Nate Silver’s midterm polling model: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model  TLDR video on Texas senate election:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dqaG4nmNG0    Cook Political Report senate race ratings:  https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings  Why New Hampshire is still competitive for Republicans: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/new-hampshire-senate/move-toward-gop-new-hampshire-senate-race-shifts-toss   https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/rjohn-sununu-republican-new-hampshire-senate-election-f35f39eb https://www.ap.org/news-highlights/elections/2026/democrats-want-a-blue-wave-new-hampshire-is-exhibit-a-for-why-that-may-not-happen/  Analysis of gas/diesel prices by state, Nate Silver:  https://www.natesilver.net/p/diesel-prices-could-crush-republicans  Farmers frustrated at Trump: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/already-under-financial-pressure-farmers-squeezed-further-by-tariffs-and-iran-war   https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/21/business/economy/trump-beef-prices.html  Strength of some Democratic candidates: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6131462-sabatos-crystal-ball-shifts-alaska/  https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/sherrod-brown-wins-ohio-senate-democratic-primary-jon-husted-rcna343049  Strength of some Republicans: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/sherrod-brown-wins-ohio-senate-democratic-primary-jon-husted-rcna343049   https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/rjohn-sununu-republican-new-hampshire-senate-election-f35f39eb https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/10/03/new-hampshire-senate-race-democrat-faces-an-unusually-tough-time/  https://www.ap.org/news-highlights/elections/2026/democrats-want-a-blue-wave-new-hampshire-is-exhibit-a-for-why-that-may-not-happen/  https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/10/06/susan-collins-political-survivor-tries-outrun-trump/ 00:00 Why Democrats Are Polling So Well in Red States 07:45 Sponsored Content